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MCMC (Markov Chain Monte Carlo)

Class of sampling algorithms that build a Markov chain with the posterior distribution as its stationary distribution to perform approximate inference in complex graphical models.

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Metropolis-Hastings algorithm

General MCMC algorithm that uses a proposal distribution to generate new states and accepts/rejects these proposals according to a probability criterion ensuring convergence to the target distribution.

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Burn-in

Initial MCMC sampling period during which samples are discarded because the chain has not yet reached its stationary distribution, eliminating the influence of the initial state.

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Mixing time

Number of iterations required for a Markov chain to get sufficiently close to its stationary distribution, measuring the speed of convergence of MCMC algorithms.

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Rejection sampling

Direct sampling technique that generates candidates from an envelope distribution and accepts them with a probability proportional to the ratio of the target/envelope densities.

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Importance sampling

Monte Carlo method using importance weights to correct the bias introduced by sampling from a proposal distribution different from the target distribution.

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Sequential Monte Carlo

Set of algorithms (particle filters) for inference in sequential models, using sets of weighted particles to approximate sequential distributions.

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Hamiltonian Monte Carlo

Advanced MCMC variant that uses Hamiltonian mechanics to propose distant states with high acceptance probability, reducing the autocorrelation of the samples.

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Gelman-Rubin Diagnostic

Statistical method for assessing the convergence of MCMC chains by comparing within-chain and between-chain variance, with a value close to 1 indicating convergence.

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Thinning

Technique involving keeping only a subset of MCMC samples to reduce autocorrelation and storage, typically by keeping every k-th sample.

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Approximate Evidence Inference

Methods for estimating the marginal likelihood (evidence) in graphical models, essential for model selection and Bayesian computation.

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Slice Sampling

MCMC technique that introduces auxiliary variables to simplify sampling from complex distributions, particularly useful for multimodal distributions.

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Blackwell-MacQueen Variant

Sequential sampling algorithm for Dirichlet processes, generating samples according to the Blackwell-MacQueen predictive distribution.

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Antithetic Sampling

Variance reduction technique using negatively correlated sample pairs to improve the efficiency of Monte Carlo estimation.

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