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Markov Chain

Discrete-time stochastic process where the probability of the future state depends only on the present state and not on past states (Markov property).

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Hidden States

Random variables not directly observable from the system that evolve according to a Markov chain and generate the visible observations.

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Transition Probabilities

Matrix defining the probabilities of transitioning from one hidden state to another at each moment, characterizing the system's dynamics.

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Emission Probabilities

Conditional probability distribution that associates with each hidden state the probability of generating each possible observation.

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Viterbi Algorithm

Dynamic programming algorithm that finds the most likely sequence of hidden states that generated a given observation sequence.

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Baum-Welch Algorithm

Variant of the EM algorithm for estimating the parameters of an HMM from unlabeled observation sequences.

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Observation Sequence

Ordered set of observable data produced by the system, serving as input for inference in HMMs.

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Emission Matrix

Matrix where each element b(j,k) represents the probability of emitting symbol k from hidden state j.

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Initial distribution

Probability vector defining the distribution of the hidden state at time t=0 before any observation.

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Decoding problem

Fundamental question of finding the most likely sequence of hidden states that generated a given observation sequence.

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Evaluation problem

Calculation of the probability that a given HMM model generated a specific observation sequence.

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Learning problem

Automatic adjustment of HMM parameters (transition and emission probabilities) from training data.

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Discrete HMM

Hidden Markov model where observations come from a finite set of discrete symbols with discrete emission probabilities.

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Continuous HMM

HMM variant where observations are continuous variables, typically modeled by Gaussian mixtures.

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HMM topology

Structure of allowed connections between hidden states, determining the possible transitions in the model.

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Absorbing states

Special states in an HMM with a transition probability of 1 to themselves, preventing any exit once reached.

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Parameter smoothing

Technique of adding pseudo-counts to avoid zero probabilities during HMM parameter estimation.

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Posterior marginal

Posterior probability of a hidden state at a given time, calculated by marginalizing over all other hidden states.

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