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Quantile Regression Forest

An extension of random forests that estimates the complete conditional distribution of the target variable, allowing prediction of any quantile, not just the mean.

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Ensemble Forest

A learning method that builds multiple prediction models (usually decision trees) and combines their predictions to improve robustness and accuracy.

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Conditional Quantile

The quantile of the distribution of a target variable, given a certain set of values for the predictor variables, instead of the global quantile of the distribution.

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Conditional Distribution

The probability distribution of a target variable, conditioned by the observed values of the input variables, capturing the uncertainty of the prediction.

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Quantile Regression

A statistical regression method that estimates the conditional quantiles of the response variable, providing a more complete view of the relationship between variables than a simple least squares regression.

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Quantile Loss Function

An asymmetric loss function used in quantile regression to penalize overestimations and underestimations differently, according to the target quantile.

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Ensemble Method

A machine learning technique that combines multiple base models to produce an optimal prediction, often more accurate and robust than any of the individual models.

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Quantile Value

The value below which a given percentage of observations in a group of observations falls, used to divide a probability distribution into intervals of equal size.

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Ensemble Prediction

The final result of an ensemble model, obtained by aggregating the predictions of several base models, for example by calculating the average or majority vote.

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Empirical Distribution Function

An estimate of the cumulative distribution function of a probability distribution, calculated from a sample of data by counting the proportion of observations less than or equal to a given value.

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